This is a shot of the total precip from the latest NAM run. Yeah so this is the story. The NAM over the past two runs have shown a nice 12"+ storm from the coast until the Eastern Pennsylvania. On the other hand the GFS is still being stubborn and still shows an Offshore solution and has not really budged, which possibly scares me. I do believe that the track will be similar to the 12z Euro run but with a little less precip than the 00z NAM. I would say that the highest amounts will be in DC, with amounts of 12"-18"+. The cut off with the precip will be sharp so if you are in PA, the closer you are to the PA/NJ border, the better the chances are that you will get 6"+. I'm seeing VA Beach with maybe a bit of a mix but more rain that wintry mix. NYC i see at 6-10" maybe more maybe less. NW of NYC could have as much as 14 or more inches of snow, but that is only if the track is right.
looks like we wont find out for sure if this will be a storm for us until tomorrow afternoon
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